AJ Auxerre
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 20
Jan 16, 2021 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps

Auxerre
4 - 1
Chateauroux

Fortune (9'), Sakhi (66'), Hein (79'), Begraoui (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Merdji (35')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Auxerre and Chateauroux.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawChateauroux
57.43%24.02%18.54%
Both teams to score 46.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31%53.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82%75.18%
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48%18.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.25%49.75%
Chateauroux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.87%43.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.6%79.4%
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 57.42%
    Chateauroux 18.54%
    Draw 24.02%
AuxerreDrawChateauroux
1-0 @ 13.47%
2-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 5.37%
4-0 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 0.95%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 57.42%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.72%
1-2 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 18.54%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!