Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28

Mar 12, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
4 - 1
Toulouse

Mendy (18'), Court (31'), Oniangue (51'), da Costa (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ratao (48')
Spierings (32')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Toulouse.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

Last Six:

Last Game: Rodez AF 2-0 Caen
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Guingamp	38	4	58
7	Caen	38	9	50
8	Le Havre	38	-3	50

Toulouse

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Toulouse
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Toulouse	38	49	79
2	Ajaccio	38	20	75
3	Auxerre	38	22	74

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Caen had a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Caen win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Caen	Draw	Toulouse
20.79%	25.26%	53.95%

Both teams to score 46.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.41%

55.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24%

76.76%

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.27%

41.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.8%

78.2%

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.38%

20.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.83%

53.17%

Score Analysis

Caen 20.79%

Toulouse 53.94%

Draw 25.26%

Caen	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 7.52% 2-1 @ 5.19% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.19% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.14% Total : 20.79%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 13.58% 0-2 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-3 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 4.93% 0-4 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.94%