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Ligue 1

Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Nantes

Toulouse
0 - 0
Nantes

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawNantes
44.66% (-0.328 -0.33)25.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09)30.13% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.06% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.71% (-0.271 -0.27)48.3% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.56% (-0.25 -0.25)70.44% (0.251 0.25)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)21.62% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (-0.402 -0.4)54.74% (0.404 0.4)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.75% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.81% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 44.66%
    Nantes 30.13%
    Draw 25.21%
ToulouseDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 44.66%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 30.13%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Nantes

Toulouse
70.8%
Draw
4.2%
Nantes
25.0%
24
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 8pm
Final
Nantes
1-5
Toulouse
Blas (75' pen.)
Victor (26'), Pallois (38'), Descamps (43')
Costa (4', 10'), Dallinga (23', 31'), Aboukhlal (79')
Dejaegere (58'), Desler (88')
Aug 28, 2022 12pm
gameweek 4
Nantes
3-1
Toulouse
Guessand (50'), Mohamed (55'), Simon (61')
Aboukhlal (15')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (45'), Nicolaisen (87')
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
gameweek 33
Toulouse
P-P
Nantes
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
gameweek 15
Nantes
2-1
Toulouse
Toure (43' pen.), Blas (53')
Bamba (40')
Leya Iseka (97' pen.)
Kone (8'), Isimat-Mirin (48')
Kone (23')
Apr 7, 2019 2pm
gameweek 31
Toulouse
1-0
Nantes
Sylla (55')
Jullien (20'), Shoji (34'), Amian (40')

Ie (24')
Girotto (17')