Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.