Eredivisie Gameweek 5
PSV
Sep 16, 2023 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Philips Stadion
Nijmegen
  • Luuk de Jong 33' yellowcard
  • Luuk de Jong 37' goal
  • Noa Lang 38' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 49' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 87' goal
  • yellowcard Brayann Pereira 26'
  • yellowcard Mathias Ross 62'
  • yellowcard Bas Dost 86'

PSV Eindhoven vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 7.00pm
RKC Waalwijk 0 - 4 PSV
Goals scored
111
Top scorer
Luuk de Jong

NEC

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2023 7.00pm
Sparta 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Koki Ogawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for NEC had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result

PSV Eindhoven 70.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 17.05% ▲ (+0.01)
NEC 12.94% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.5% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 33.72%
Over 3.5 44.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 55.54%
Over 4.5 25.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 74.17% ▲ (+0.01)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 91.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 8.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 70.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 29.77% ▲ (+0.01)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 61.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 74.93% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 70.01%
Draw 17.05%
NEC 12.94%
PSV Eindhoven
2-0 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.78%
4-0 @ 4.95%
4-1 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 3.75%
5-0 @ 2.42%
5-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 2.29%
5-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 5.06%
Total : 70.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.29%
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.05%
NEC
1-2 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.17%
0-2 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47%
1-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 12.94%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
Apr 1, 2023 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT
PSV
  • Oussama Tannane 59' goal
  • Oussama Tannane 87' goal
  • goal Luuk de Jong 7'
  • goal Olivier Boscagli 21'
  • goal Joey Veerman 39'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 50'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
PSV
Oct 30, 2022 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Nijmegen
  • Anwar El Ghazi 18' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 50' goal
  • Noni Madueke 84' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 30
PSV
May 11, 2022 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Nijmegen
  • Ritsu Doan 26' goal
  • Erick Gutierrez 36' goal
  • Eran Zahavi 61' goal
  • goal Mikkel Duelund 66'
  • goal Jonathan Okita 72'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
Dec 12, 2021 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
PSV
  • Magnus Mattsson 8' goal
  • Lasse Schone 68' yellowcard
  • Dirk Proper 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Yorbe Vertessen 80'
  • goal Carlos Vinicius 90'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vinicius 90'+2'
Eredivisie
PSV
Feb 18, 2017 6.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Nijmegen
  • Marco van Ginkel 20' goal
  • Marco van Ginkel 22' yellowcard
  • Bart Ramselaar 56' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 94' goal
  • yellowcard Janio Bikel 20'
  • goal Ali Messaoud 30'
Eredivisie
Nijmegen
Sep 10, 2016 6.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT
PSV
  • Dario Dumic 16' yellowcard
  • goal Bart Ramselaar 4'
  • goal Gaston Pereiro 10'
  • goal Joshua Brenet 20'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 24'

Form Data

RKC Waalwijk 0 - 4 PSV
PSV 5 - 1 Rangers
Rangers 2 - 2 PSV
Vitesse 1 - 3 PSV
Sturm Graz 1 - 3 PSV
PSV 2 - 0 Utrecht
Sparta 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 3 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
Heracles 2 - 1 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 3 - 4 Excelsior
Sittard 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 0 - 3 AZ