Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2023 at 7pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
4 - 0
Nijmegen

de Jong (37', 49' pen.), Lang (38'), Pepi (87' pen.)
de Jong (33')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pereira (26'), Ross (62'), Dost (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-4 PSV
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 1-1 Nijmegen
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for NEC had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	NEC
70.01% ( -0)	17.05% ( 0)	12.94% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.5% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.28% (

0.01)

33.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.46% (

55.54%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.37% (

8.63% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.23% (

29.77% (

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.84% (

0.01)

38.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.07% (

0.01)

74.93% (

-0)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 70.01%

NEC 12.94%

Draw 17.05%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	NEC
2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 8.07% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.78% 4-0 @ 4.95% 4-1 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 3.75% 5-0 @ 2.42% 5-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 2.29% 5-2 @ 1.12% 6-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.12% Total : 70.01%	1-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.29% 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.05%	1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 12.94%