Eredivisie | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Erve Asito
Heracles2 - 1Nijmegen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Heracles
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-4 Excelsior
Sunday, August 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, August 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
We said: Heracles 1-2 NEC
While both sides suffered hefty defeats last week, the visitors looked much more fluid in attack, which we expect to see again here against newly-promoted opposition. With both defences failing to impress so far this campaign, we expect both teams to get on the scoresheet but fancy NEC to come away with the victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | NEC |
53.65% ( 0.42) | 23.7% ( -0.07) | 22.65% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
