Eredivisie | Gameweek 2

Aug 18, 2023 at 7pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
2 - 1
Nijmegen

Hansson (61'), Ouahim (74')
Bruns (32'), Engels (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ogawa (24')
Baas (28'), Marques (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Heracles
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-4 Excelsior
Sunday, August 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	NEC
53.65% ( 0.42)	23.7% ( -0.07)	22.65% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.49% (

-0.06)

47.5% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.28% (

-0.05)

69.71% (

0.05)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.37% (

0.13)

17.63% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.77% (

0.23)

48.23% (

-0.23)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.69% (

-0.35)

35.31% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.93% (

-0.37)

72.06% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Heracles 53.65%

NEC 22.65%

Draw 23.69%

Heracles	Draw	NEC
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 53.65%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.69%	0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 22.65%