/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fherlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
-
Thomas Bruns
32'
-
Emil Hansson
61'
-
Anas Ouahim
74'
-
Mario Engels
90'+6'
-
Koki Ogawa
24'
-
Youri Baas
28'
-
Pedro Marques
90'+6'
Heracles vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Ffootball-general-generic.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result
Heracles
53.65%
▲
(+0.43)
Draw
23.7%
▼
(-0.08)
NEC
22.65%
▼
(-0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
53.28%
▼
(-0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.49%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
47.5%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
30.28%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
69.71%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
14.87%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
85.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5
82.37%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
17.63%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
51.77%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
48.23%
▼
(-0.24)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
64.69%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 0.5
35.31%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 1.5
27.93%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
72.06%
▲
(+0.37)
Score analysis
Heracles
53.65%
Draw
23.69%
NEC
22.65%
Heracles
1-0
@
10.8%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 53.65%
2-1 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 53.65%
Draw
1-1
@
11.24%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.69%
0-0 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.69%
NEC
0-1
@
6.48%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 22.65%
