Heracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion

Heracles
3 - 0
Jong PSV

Azzaoui (19', 34'), Rente (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and Jong PSV.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last Game: Helmond 0-1 Heracles
Friday, April 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong PSV

All competitions
Last Game: Jong PSV 0-1 MVV
Monday, April 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 10.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 3-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawJong PSV
74.31% (0.176 0.18)14.92% (-0.101 -0.1)10.77% (-0.071 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.59% (0.169 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71% (0.322 0.32)29% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.03% (0.391 0.39)49.97% (-0.385 -0.38)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.37% (0.108 0.11)6.63% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.39% (0.286 0.29)24.61% (-0.282 -0.28)
Jong PSV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.68% (0.11199999999999 0.11)38.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.93% (0.107 0.11)75.08% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 74.31%
    Jong PSV 10.77%
    Draw 14.92%
HeraclesDrawJong PSV
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.12% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.74% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 5.51% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.89% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.12% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.99% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.64% (0.027 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.43% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.41% (0.023 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.35% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 74.31%
1-1 @ 6.61% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.54% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 14.92%
1-2 @ 3.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.44% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 10.77%

Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 7pm
gameweek 3
Jong PSV
0-3
Heracles

Kreekels (15'), Antonisse (29')
Schoofs (24'), Ouahim (51'), Hansson (60')
Sonnenberg (4'), Laursen (29'), Kiomourtzoglou (40')