Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 34

Apr 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stadion De Braak

Helmond
0 - 1
Heracles

FT(HT: 0-1)

Armenteros (12')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

Helmond Sport

All competitions

Last Game: Den Bosch 1-2 Helmond
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 1-0 Roda JC
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Helmond Sport	Draw	Heracles
25.61% ( -0.17)	23.34% ( -0.17)	51.04% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 57.82% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.92% (

0.63)

43.07% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.52% (

0.62)

65.48% (

-0.62)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

0.2)

30.37% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.44% (

0.23)

66.56% (

-0.24)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.04% (

0.36)

16.95% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.95% (

0.64)

47.04% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Helmond Sport 25.61%

Heracles 51.04%

Draw 23.34%

Helmond Sport	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.61%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.04% Total : 51.04%