Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 32
Apr 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Braak

Helmond
1 - 2
MVV

Van Keilegom (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kostons (33'), Blummel (69')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oss 2-2 Helmond
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 3-2 FC Eindhoven
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Helmond SportDrawMVV Maastricht
55.72% (0.035999999999994 0.04)22.18% (-0.023 -0.02)22.1% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.59% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55% (0.079000000000001 0.08)41.45% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15% (0.080000000000005 0.08)63.84% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (0.038000000000011 0.04)14.76% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57% (0.073999999999998 0.07)42.99% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (0.028000000000006 0.03)32.44% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (0.032 0.03)68.96% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Helmond Sport 55.72%
    MVV Maastricht 22.1%
    Draw 22.18%
Helmond SportDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 55.72%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 22.1%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 7pm
MVV
4-0
Helmond
Van Bommel (23'), Souren (37'), Lorentzen (51' og.), Van der Meer (85' og.)
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
Helmond
1-2
MVV
Seys (42')
Lion (27'), De Bie (36')
Keulen (52'), Dzepar (67')
Dzepar (54')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
MVV
3-2
Helmond
Ntelo (10', 19', 76')
Ntelo (81')
Goselink (36', 70')
Bosiers (41'), van der Meer (68')
Jan 22, 2021 5.45pm
MVV
1-1
Helmond
Schroyen (10' pen.)
Duijvestijn (67')
Duijvestijn (81')
Oct 30, 2020 5.45pm
Helmond
1-1
MVV
Goselink (49' pen.)
Van Keilegom (76')
Van Bommel (90+3')
Duin (42')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!