Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Braak

Helmond
3 - 0
Jong PSV

Goselink (20', 49'), Van Keilegom (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Helmond Sport and Jong PSV.

Form, Standings, Stats

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last Game: De Graafschap 2-0 Helmond
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong PSV

All competitions
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-2 NAC Breda
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.

Result
Helmond SportDrawJong PSV
41.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)25.46%32.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 55.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.63%48.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49%70.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.94% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Jong PSV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06%27.93% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44%63.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Helmond Sport 41.61%
    Jong PSV 32.92%
    Draw 25.45%
Helmond SportDrawJong PSV
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.45%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.92%

How you voted: Helmond vs Jong PSV

Helmond Sport
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Jong PSV
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2022 7pm
Jong PSV
6-0
Helmond
Bakayoko (11' pen.), Savio (38'), Tielemans (51', 68'), Colyn (59'), Van Duiven (88')

Lion (25')
Feb 4, 2022 7pm
Jong PSV
2-0
Helmond
Fofana (21'), Nassoh (56')

Lion (32'), Bastiaans (83')
Aug 27, 2021 7pm
Helmond
1-0
Jong PSV
Van der Meer (66')
Seys (83')

Antonisse (83')
Feb 23, 2021 8pm
Jong PSV
2-2
Helmond
Sambo (63'), Daverveld (90+4')
Fofana (36'), Bakayoko (54'), Daverveld (89')
Duijvestijn (71', 79')
Joppen (36'), Stans (53'), De Bie (78'), Vereijken (89')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
Helmond
1-0
Jong PSV
Loukili (37')