Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.