Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	ADO Den Haag
31.72% ( 0.6)	23.88% ( 0.04)	44.39% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 60.43% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.38% (

0.1)

41.62% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.97% (

0.1)

64.02% (

-0.1)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.6% (

0.42)

25.4% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.79% (

0.57)

60.2% (

-0.57)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81% (

-0.22)

19% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.45% (

-0.38)

50.55% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 31.72%

ADO Den Haag 44.39%

Draw 23.88%

Jong PSV	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.72%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 44.39%