De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
2 - 0
Helmond

Haen (15', 49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: De Graafschap 0-3 Ajax
Thursday, March 2 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last Game: Helmond 2-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for De Graafschap in this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawHelmond Sport
62.88% (0.163 0.16)20.8% (0.0019999999999989 0)16.32% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.9% (-0.37 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (-0.312 -0.31)44% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (-0.302 -0.3)66.39% (0.304 0.3)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)13.38% (0.048 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.71% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)40.29% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-0.393 -0.39)40.09% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-0.363 -0.36)76.73% (0.363 0.36)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 62.87%
    Helmond Sport 16.32%
    Draw 20.8%
De GraafschapDrawHelmond Sport
2-0 @ 10.85% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 10.78% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.28% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.66% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 62.87%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.8%
0-1 @ 4.9% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.32%

How you voted: De Graafschap vs Helmond

De Graafschap
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Helmond Sport
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2022 8pm
Helmond
0-2
De Graafschap

van der Meer (25')
Neghli (5'), Kaandorp (12')
Apr 22, 2022 7pm
Helmond
0-4
De Graafschap

van Hove (3'), van der Meer (53')
Van Heertum (12'), Onal (42'), Neghli (62', 90+1')
Lelieveld (71')
Dec 10, 2021 7pm
De Graafschap
0-1
Helmond

Schuurman (70'), van de Pavert (90+7')
Seys (86')
Seys (90+5'), Reith (90+5'), Havekotte (90+7')
May 12, 2021 7pm
De Graafschap
0-0
Helmond

Tutuarima (9'), Lieftink (20'), Platje (81')

Van Keilegom (90+5')
Oct 19, 2020 4.30pm
Helmond
1-2
De Graafschap
Duijvestijn (15')
Van Keilegom (51'), Loukili (77'), Stans (90')
Van Huizen (3'), Opoku (79')
Konings (90')