Eerste Divisie Gameweek 30
Mar 26, 2023 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Elton Kabangu 20' goal
  • Joeri Schroyen 90'+2' goal

Willem II vs MVV Maastricht - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2023 7.00pm
ADO Den Haag 1 - 3 Willem II
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Elton Kabangu

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2023 7.00pm
MVV 1 - 0 Jong Utrecht
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Ruben van Bommel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 10.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Willem II in this match.

Result

Willem II 73.85% (-0.14)
Draw 15.94% (+0.09)
MVV Maastricht 10.21% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.93% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.87% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 36.13% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 41.76% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 58.24% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 23.57% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 76.42% (+0.21)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 91.62% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 8.38% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 70.84% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 29.16% (+0.21)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 55.58% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 44.41% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 19.54% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 80.46% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Willem II 73.84%
Draw 15.94%
MVV Maastricht 10.21%
Willem II
2-0 @ 11.43% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 9.45% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.23% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.67% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.86% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.76% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.91% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 73.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.49% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.77% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.72% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 15.94%
MVV Maastricht
1-2 @ 3.04% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 10.21%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2022 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Marco Kleinen 70' goal
  • Koen Kostons 86' goal
  • Rein Van Helden 90'+5' goal
  • goal Michael de Leeuw 4'
  • goal Nick Doodeman 18'