/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fwillog.png)
-
Jurre van Aken
55'
-
Jayden Addai
90'+1'
-
Elton Kabangu
7'
-
Jizz Hornkamp
20'
Jong AZ vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result
Jong AZ
26.42%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
23%
▼
(-0.09)
Willem II
50.59%
▲
(+0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
59.82%
▲
(+0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.21%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 2.5
40.79%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 3.5
36.82%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 3.5
63.17%
▼
(-0.27)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5
71.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
28.55%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
35.66%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
64.33%
▼
(-0.05)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5
83.72%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
16.28%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
54.18%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
45.82%
▼
(-0.32)
Score analysis
Jong AZ
26.42%
Draw
22.99%
Willem II
50.59%
Jong AZ
2-1
@
6.63%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 26.42%
1-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 26.42%
Draw
1-1
@
10.57%
▼
(-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.99%
2-2 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.99%
Willem II
1-2
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 50.59%
0-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 50.59%