Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 29

Mar 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

De Geusselt

MVV
1 - 0
Jong Utrecht

Steuckers (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong FC Utrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 MVV
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Jong FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Utrecht 0-1 Jong PSV
Monday, March 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
40.07% ( -0.43)	23.91% ( -0.06)	36.01% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 61.67% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.44% (

0.38)

40.56% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.06% (

0.39)

62.94% (

-0.39)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

-0.03)

20.46% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07% (

-0.05)

52.93% (

0.05)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

0.43)

22.47% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98% (

0.64)

56.01% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 40.07%

Jong FC Utrecht 36.01%

Draw 23.91%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 40.07%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.01%