Heracles Almelo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Polman Stadion

Heracles
2 - 0
Jong AZ

Azzaoui (4'), Cicilia (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and Jong AZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 0-3 Heracles
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last Game: Jong AZ 2-2 Willem II
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 3-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Heracles in this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawJong AZ
71.77% (0.030000000000001 0.03)16.03% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)12.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)30.47% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02)51.76% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.54% (0.010000000000005 0.01)7.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.18% (0.022999999999996 0.02)26.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.04% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)73.83% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 71.77%
    Jong AZ 12.21%
    Draw 16.03%
HeraclesDrawJong AZ
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.05% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 7.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 5.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 5.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 2.7% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 2.58%
5-2 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 71.77%
1-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 16.03%
1-2 @ 3.54% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 2.74% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 12.21%

How you voted: Heracles vs Jong AZ

Heracles
61.5%
Draw
23.1%
Jong AZ
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Jong AZ
1-1
Heracles
Goes (90+5')
Cicilia (90+1')
Rente (31')