Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.