Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
de Vliert

Den Bosch
1 - 2
Helmond

Leijten (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
van Vlerken (45+1'), Kaars (81' pen.)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Den Bosch and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 2-0 Den Bosch
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Helmond 1-2 MVV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Den BoschDrawHelmond Sport
39.99% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)25.24% (-0.041 -0.04)34.77% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 56.65% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01% (0.20500000000001 0.21)46.99% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.77% (0.19 0.19)69.23% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Den Bosch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (0.049000000000007 0.05)23.3% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.07 0.07)57.24% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.17 0.17)26.14% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (0.227 0.23)61.22% (-0.225 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Den Bosch 39.99%
    Helmond Sport 34.77%
    Draw 25.24%
Den BoschDrawHelmond Sport
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39.99%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 34.77%

How you voted: Den Bosch vs Helmond

Den Bosch
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Helmond Sport
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2022 7pm
Helmond
1-0
Den Bosch
Van Keilegom (68')

Mulders (82')
May 6, 2022 7pm
Helmond
1-1
Den Bosch
Reith (90+3')
Felida (25')
Aug 6, 2021 7pm
Den Bosch
2-0
Helmond
Lejten (64'), Hornkamp (78')
van den Bogert (50'), van Hedel (54')
Jan 15, 2021 8pm
Helmond
4-0
Den Bosch
Van Keilegom (9'), Loukili (32'), Duijvestijn (39'), Goselink (60')

van der Velden (82')
Oct 12, 2020 7pm
Den Bosch
1-2
Helmond
Hornkamp (63')
Van Keilegom (53'), Loukili (59')