Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.