Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 30

Mar 26, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
3 - 2
Den Bosch

Schoofs (1'), Armenteros (39'), van Grunsven (41' og.)

FT(HT: 3-1)

Mulders (7'), Moller (51')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and Den Bosch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Oss 1-5 Heracles
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Den Bosch

All competitions

Last Game: Den Bosch 3-1 Dordrecht
Friday, March 17 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 73.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 11.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	Den Bosch
73.7% ( -0.01)	15.19% ( 0.01)	11.11% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.78% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.66% (

-0.05)

29.34% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.61% (

-0.06)

50.39% (

0.07)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.18% (

-0.01)

6.82% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.87% (

-0.04)

25.13% (

0.04)

Den Bosch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.01% (

-0.04)

37.99% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.24% (

-0.04)

74.76% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Heracles 73.7%

Den Bosch 11.11%

Draw 15.19%

Heracles	Draw	Den Bosch
2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.61% 4-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.02% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 4.31% Total : 73.7%	1-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.19%	1-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 11.11%