Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Heesen Yachts Stadion
Heracles Almelo

Oss
1 - 5
Heracles

Leidsman (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cicilia (50'), Laursen (56', 61', 90+3'), Vejinovic (81')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between TOP Oss and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oss 2-3 ADO Den Haag
Friday, March 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-0 Jong AZ
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 2-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
TOP OssDrawHeracles
21.45% (-0.638 -0.64)22.14% (-0.278 -0.28)56.41% (0.922 0.92)
Both teams to score 56.77% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (0.48 0.48)42.09% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.5% (0.479 0.48)64.5% (-0.473 -0.47)
TOP Oss Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)33.4% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.351 -0.35)70.03% (0.357 0.36)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (0.468 0.47)14.76% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57% (0.885 0.88)42.99% (-0.88 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    TOP Oss 21.45%
    Heracles 56.41%
    Draw 22.14%
TOP OssDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 5.67% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-0 @ 5.41% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-0 @ 2.96% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.07% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 21.45%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 9.02% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 6.31% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 5.76% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.46% (0.035 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.02% (0.104 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.75% (0.119 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.66% (0.043 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.16% (0.058 0.06)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.41%

How you voted: Oss vs Heracles

TOP Oss
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Heracles
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 5.45pm
Heracles
3-0
Oss
Schoofs (17', 20'), Hansson (61' pen.)

Margaret (9')