Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 32

Apr 7, 2023 at 7pm UK

NAC Breda
2 - 0
Den Bosch

Mar Omarsson (62'), Garbett (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Den Bosch.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: VVV-Venlo 1-3 NAC Breda
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Den Bosch

All competitions

Last Game: Den Bosch 0-2 Willem II
Sunday, April 2 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 21.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	Den Bosch
57.42% ( -0.07)	20.71% ( 0.01)	21.87% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 62.56% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.23% (

0.03)

34.77% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.27% (

0.03)

56.73% (

-0.03)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.95% (

-0.01)

12.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.47% (

-0.02)

37.53% (

0.02)

Den Bosch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

0.06)

28.87% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

0.08)

64.74% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 57.42%

Den Bosch 21.87%

Draw 20.71%

NAC Breda	Draw	Den Bosch
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.95% 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.42%	1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.71%	1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 21.87%