Eerste Divisie Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2023 11.15am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Thijs Oosting 44'
  • goal Erik Schouten 63'

Den Bosch vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Den Bosch

All competitions
Last game
Mar 26, 2023 1.30pm
Heracles 3 - 2 Den Bosch
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Joey Konings

Willem II

All competitions
Last game
Mar 26, 2023 1.30pm
Willem II 2 - 0 MVV
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Elton Kabangu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result

Den Bosch 18.17% (-0.02)
Draw 21.32% (+0.08)
Willem II 60.5% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.99% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.88% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 43.12% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 34.48% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 65.52% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 17.88% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 82.12% (+0.27)

Den Bosch Goals

Over 0.5 62.64% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 37.35% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 25.86% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 74.14% (+0.23)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 86.19% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 13.81% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 58.85% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 41.15% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Den Bosch 18.17%
Draw 21.31%
Willem II 60.5%
Den Bosch
1-0 @ 5.08% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 18.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.16% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.31%
Willem II
0-1 @ 10.21% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 10.11% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 9.96% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.57% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.25% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
0-5 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.29% (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 60.5%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 10
Oct 7, 2022 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jesse Bosch 73' goal
  • goal Faris Hammouti 1'
  • goal Faris Hammouti 52'