Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2023 at 11.15am UK
de Vliert
Willem II

Den Bosch
0 - 2
Willem II

FT(HT: 0-1)
Oosting (44'), Schouten (63')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Den Bosch and Willem II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 3-2 Den Bosch
Sunday, March 26 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Willem II 2-0 MVV
Sunday, March 26 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Den BoschDrawWillem II
18.17% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)21.32% (0.074999999999999 0.07)60.5% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.279 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)43.12% (0.357 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)65.52% (0.35599999999999 0.36)
Den Bosch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (-0.227 -0.23)37.35% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.86% (-0.224 -0.22)74.14% (0.229 0.23)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.19% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)13.81% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.85% (-0.26 -0.26)41.15% (0.264 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Den Bosch 18.17%
    Willem II 60.5%
    Draw 21.31%
Den BoschDrawWillem II
1-0 @ 5.08% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 18.17%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.31%
0-1 @ 10.21% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 10.11% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 6.67% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.25% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 60.5%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 7pm
Willem II
1-2
Den Bosch
Bosch (73')
Dammers (45+1')
Hammouti (1', 52')
rhs 2.0


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