Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.