Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 67.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 3-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.