Eredivisie Gameweek 1
Nijmegen
Aug 13, 2023 11.15am
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Sportpark De Weeren
Excelsior
  • Youri Baas 36' goal
  • Sontje Hansen 44' goal
  • Koki Ogawa 60' goal
  • Pedro Marques 83' yellowcard
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 12'
  • goal Casper Widell 53'
  • goal Richie Omorowa 73'
  • yellowcard Serano Seymor 84'
  • yellowcard Julian Baas 90'+9'
  • goal Oscar Uddenas 90'+10'

NEC vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Sittard 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Koki Ogawa

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Volendam 3 - 2 Excelsior
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Troy Parrott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result

NEC 62.38% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 20.27% ▼ (-0.20)
SBV Excelsior 17.35% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.98% ▲ (+0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.3% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 2.5 39.7% ▼ (-0.98)
Over 3.5 37.95% ▲ (+1.01)
Under 3.5 62.05% ▼ (-1.01)
Over 4.5 20.52% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 4.5 79.48% ▼ (-0.79)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5 87.8% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 0.5 12.19% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 1.5 62.15% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 1.5 37.85% ▼ (-0.73)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 63.76% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 0.5 36.24% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 1.5 26.97% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 1.5 73.02% ▼ (-0.63)

Score analysis

NEC 62.38%
Draw 20.27%
SBV Excelsior 17.35%
NEC
2-1 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.18)
1-0 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.08)
5-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 62.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.27%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.35%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Excelsior
Feb 19, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Nijmegen
  • goal Magnus Mattsson 44'
  • goal Souffian Elkarouani 73'
  • goal Anthony Musaba 85'
Eredivisie Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
Oct 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Excelsior
  • Landry Dimata 59' goal
  • goal Lazaros Lamprou 88'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 33
Excelsior
Apr 9, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Nijmegen
  • Mats Wieffer 48' yellowcard
  • Joel Zwarts 63' goal
  • Joel Zwarts 79' goal
  • goal Javier Vet 16'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Excelsior
  • Cas Odenthal 28' yellowcard
  • Dirk Proper 42' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Okita 50' goal
  • Jonathan Okita 72' yellowcard
  • Souffian Elkarouani 79' goal
  • Jordy Bruijn 86' goal
  • Javier Vet 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Zwarts 14'
  • goal Mitchell van Rooijen 17'
  • yellowcard Mats Wieffer 49'
  • redcard Brandon Ormonde-Ottewill 76'
  • yellowcard Herve Matthys 90'+4'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 34
Nijmegen
Apr 10, 2020 7.00pm
Goffertstadion
Excelsior
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 18
Excelsior
Dec 6, 2019 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Nijmegen
  • Sander Fischer 48' goal
  • Joel Zwarts 73' goal
  • goal Ole ter Haar Romeny 49'

Form Data

Sittard 1 - 1 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 0 - 3 AZ
FC Twente 4 - 0 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 2 - 3 Heerenveen
Groningen 0 - 1 Nijmegen
Nijmegen 1 - 4 Vitesse
Volendam 3 - 2 Excelsior
Excelsior 3 - 0 Sittard
Heerenveen 0 - 0 Excelsior
Excelsior 0 - 2 Feyenoord
Vitesse 0 - 0 Excelsior
Excelsior 2 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles