Eredivisie | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2023 at 11.15am UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
3 - 4
Excelsior

Baas (36'), Hansen (44'), Ogawa (60')
Marques (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Agrafiotis (12'), Widell (53'), Omorowa (73'), Uddenas (90+10')
Seymor (84'), Baas (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 1-1 Nijmegen
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 3-2 Excelsior
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	SBV Excelsior
62.38% ( 0.17)	20.27% ( -0.2)	17.35% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.98% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.3% (

0.97)

39.7% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.95% (

62.05% (

-1.01)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.8% (

0.34)

12.19% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.15% (

0.72)

37.85% (

-0.72)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

0.62)

36.24% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97% (

0.62)

73.02% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

NEC 62.38%

SBV Excelsior 17.35%

Draw 20.27%

NEC	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.81% Total : 62.38%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.27%	1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.35%