Eerste Divisie Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Samuel Armenteros 23' goal
  • Lucas Schoofs 71' goal

Heracles vs Jong Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2023 7.00pm
NAC Breda 0 - 3 Heracles

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2023 7.00pm
Jong Ajax 1 - 2 Jong AZ

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 77.93%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 8.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.65%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Heracles in this match.

Result

Heracles 77.93% (+0.01)
Draw 13.09%
Jong Ajax 8.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.09% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.78% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 25.22%
Over 3.5 54.79% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 45.2%
Over 4.5 35.28% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 64.72%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5 94.8% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 5.2%
Over 1.5 79.44% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 20.56%

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 61.27% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.73%
Over 1.5 24.53% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.46%

Score analysis

Heracles 77.93%
Draw 13.09%
Jong Ajax 8.98%
Heracles
2-0 @ 8.8%
3-0 @ 8.67%
2-1 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 8.23%
4-0 @ 6.41%
4-1 @ 6.08%
1-0 @ 5.95%
3-2 @ 3.9%
5-0 @ 3.79%
5-1 @ 3.6%
4-2 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.87%
6-1 @ 1.77%
5-2 @ 1.71%
Other @ 5.9%
Total : 77.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.65%
2-2 @ 3.96%
0-0 @ 2.01%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 13.09%
Jong Ajax
1-2 @ 2.68%
0-1 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 8.98%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lorenzo Lucca 45' goal
  • Lorenzo Lucca 57' goal
  • Donny Warmerdam 73' goal
  • Donny Warmerdam 81' goal