Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.