Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.