Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.