Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion

Almere City
1 - 0
Jong Utrecht

van Bruggen (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Almere City and Jong FC Utrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Almere City
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawJong FC Utrecht
62.57% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)20.08% (0.168 0.17)17.34% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.62% (-0.397 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.15% (-0.612 -0.61)38.85% (0.616 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.84% (-0.649 -0.65)61.16% (0.653 0.65)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.12% (-0.254 -0.25)11.88% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.81% (-0.547 -0.55)37.19% (0.551 0.55)
Jong FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)35.74% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (-0.271 -0.27)72.51% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 62.58%
    Jong FC Utrecht 17.34%
    Draw 20.08%
Almere CityDrawJong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.75% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 62.58%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.08%
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 17.34%

How you voted: Almere City vs Jong Utrecht

Almere City
79.4%
Draw
20.6%
Jong FC Utrecht
0.0%
34
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 7pm
Jong Utrecht
0-2
Almere City

Sanches Fernandes (44')
Akujobi (56'), Hilterman (63')
Mar 7, 2022 7pm
Jong Utrecht
1-2
Almere City
Ikeshita (69')
St Jago (43'), Balk (74')
Wildeboer (5'), Pouwels (87')
Leeuwin (27')
Aug 13, 2021 7pm
Almere City
1-1
Jong Utrecht
Alhaft (15')
Rijks (89')
Meissen (19'), Sellouf (47'), Culhaci (65'), Venema (90+5')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Jong Utrecht
1-3
Almere City
Velanas (46')
Velanas (79')
Breedijk (26' pen.), Yeboah (32'), Alhaft (77')
Dec 4, 2020 8pm
Almere City
4-1
Jong Utrecht
Alhaft (60'), Koolwijk (62'), Verheydt (66'), Hammouti (70')
Koolwijk (68')
Arzani (57')
Mokono (42')