Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Dec 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Arsenal

McGinn (7')
Digne (53'), Luiz (62'), McGinn (73'), Carlos (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zinchenko (28'), Rice (77')

Reaction

Aston Villa manager Unai Emery reacts on October 29, 2023

Unai Emery proud of Aston Villa's achievements after win over Arsenal

Unai Emery suggests that it is important that Aston Villa enjoy their recent record-breaking achievements in the Premier League after defeating Arsenal on Saturday night.

Dec 10, 10:37

Arsenal head coach Mikel Arteta pictured on November 1, 2023

Mikel Arteta makes "clear and obvious" admission after Aston Villa defeat

Mikel Arteta hints at his anger over "clear and obvious" decisions to go against his team in Arsenal's 1-0 Premier League defeat to Aston Villa at Villa Park.

Dec 9, 21:45

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Man City
Wednesday, December 6 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Luton 3-4 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 5 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Arsenal
32.36% ( -5.02)	24.75% ( 0.29)	42.89% ( 4.73)

Both teams to score 57.66% (

-2.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.64% (

-2.31)

45.36% (

2.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.3% (

-2.24)

67.7% (

2.24)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

-3.94)

26.82% (

3.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.88% (

-5.49)

62.12% (

5.49)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8% (

1.28)

21.2% (

-1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.92% (

1.95)

54.09% (

-1.95)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 32.36%

Arsenal 42.9%

Draw 24.74%

Aston Villa	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.71) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.67) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.75) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.47) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.59) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.41) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.36%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.54) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.74%	1-2 @ 9% ( 0.55) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 1.14) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 1.11) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.45) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.69) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.31) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.9%