MX23RW : Saturday, February 24 03:57:24| >> :120:33024:33024:
Aston Villa logo
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Legia
Diaby (4'), Moreno (58')
Diaby (36'), Luiz (41'), Tielemans (53'), Duran (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muci (20')
Gual (39'), Wszolek (41'), Kramer (68'), Jedrzejczyk (75')
The Match
Match Report
Alex Moreno scores the winner in his first match for six months as Aston Villa beat Legia Warsaw 2-1 in the Europa Conference League.
Team News
Unai Emery names a much-changed Aston Villa XI for Thursday's Europa Conference League tie with Legia Warsaw.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Legia Warsaw, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.29%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 21.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLegia Warsaw
57.29% (8.78 8.78) 21.14% (-2.032 -2.03) 21.56% (-6.749 -6.75)
Both teams to score 60.49% (-0.344 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.73% (2.897 2.9)37.27% (-2.897 -2.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.52% (3.057 3.06)59.48% (-3.057 -3.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (3.917 3.92)12.88% (-3.917 -3.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.71% (7.486 7.49)39.28% (-7.486 -7.49)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-3.684 -3.68)30.56% (3.684 3.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-4.598 -4.6)66.79% (4.597 4.6)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 57.29%
    Legia Warsaw 21.57%
    Draw 21.14%
Aston VillaDrawLegia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.361 0.36)
2-0 @ 8.27% (1.082 1.08)
1-0 @ 8.07% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.69% (1.082 1.08)
3-0 @ 5.65% (1.376 1.38)
3-2 @ 3.97% (0.281 0.28)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.926 0.93)
4-0 @ 2.89% (0.988 0.99)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.389 0.39)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.513 0.51)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.506 0.51)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 9.57% (-1.015 -1.02)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.392 -0.39)
0-0 @ 3.94% (-0.578 -0.58)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.14%
1-2 @ 5.67% (-1.283 -1.28)
0-1 @ 4.67% (-1.266 -1.27)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-1.131 -1.13)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.805 -0.81)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.614 -0.61)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Legia

Aston Villa
80.0%
Draw
11.1%
Legia Warsaw
8.9%
90
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Legia
3-2
Aston Villa
Wszolek (3'), Muci (26', 51')
Kun (19'), Ribeiro (84'), Tobiasz (90+4')
Duran (6'), Digne (38')
Zaniolo (53'), Diaby (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool26186263253860
2Manchester CityMan City25175358263256
3Arsenal25174458223655
4Aston Villa25154652331949
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs25145652381447
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd2514293534144
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2510874840838
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle251141053411237
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham2510693644-836
10Chelsea25105104241135
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves25105103940-135
12Fulham2585123441-729
13Bournemouth2477103346-1328
14Brentford2574143544-925
15Crystal Palace2567122844-1625
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2566133244-1224
17Everton2586112733-620
18Luton TownLuton2555153551-1620
19Burnley2534182555-3013
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2534182265-4313

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