Conference League
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Moussa Diaby
4'
-
Moussa Diaby
36'
-
Douglas Luiz
41'
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Youri Tielemans
53'
-
Alex Moreno
58'
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Jhon Duran
90'+2'
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Ernest Muci
20'
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Marc Gual
39'
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Pawel Wszolek
41'
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Blaz Kramer
68'
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Artur Jedrzejczyk
75'
Aston Villa vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.29%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 21.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result
Aston Villa
57.29%
▲
(+8.79)
Draw
21.14%
▼
(-2.04)
Legia Warsaw
21.56%
▼
(-6.75)
Both Teams to Score:
60.49%
▼
(-0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.73%
▲
(+2.90)
Under 2.5
37.27%
▼
(-2.90)
Over 3.5
40.52%
▲
(+3.06)
Under 3.5
59.48%
▼
(-3.06)
Over 4.5
22.56%
▲
(+2.43)
Under 4.5
77.44%
▼
(-2.43)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
87.11%
▲
(+3.92)
Under 0.5
12.88%
▼
(-3.92)
Over 1.5
60.71%
▲
(+7.49)
Under 1.5
39.28%
▼
(-7.49)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5
69.44%
▼
(-3.69)
Under 0.5
30.56%
▲
(+3.69)
Over 1.5
33.21%
▼
(-4.60)
Under 1.5
66.79%
▲
(+4.60)
Score analysis
Aston Villa
57.29%
Draw
21.14%
Legia Warsaw
21.57%
Aston Villa
2-1
@
9.8%
▲
(+0.37)
2-0 @ 8.27% ▲ (+1.09)
1-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.69% ▲ (+1.09)
3-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+1.38)
3-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.29)
4-1 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.93)
4-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.99)
4-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.39)
5-1 @ 1.41% ▼ (-87.90)
5-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-66.82)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 57.29%
2-0 @ 8.27% ▲ (+1.09)
1-0 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.69% ▲ (+1.09)
3-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+1.38)
3-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.29)
4-1 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.93)
4-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.99)
4-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.39)
5-1 @ 1.41% ▼ (-87.90)
5-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-66.82)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 57.29%
Draw
1-1
@
9.57%
▼
(-1.02)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.40)
0-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.58)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.14%
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.40)
0-0 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.58)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.14%
Legia Warsaw
1-2
@
5.67%
▼
(-1.29)
0-1 @ 4.67% ▼ (-1.27)
0-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-1.14)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.43)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.81)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.62)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 4.67% ▼ (-1.27)
0-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-1.14)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.43)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.81)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.62)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 21.57%
Head to Head
Conference League
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
3
2
HT :
2
2
FT
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
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Pawel Wszolek
3'
-
Patryk Kun
19'
-
Ernest Muci
26'
-
Ernest Muci
51'
-
Yuri Ribeiro
84'
-
Kacper Tobiasz
90'+4'
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Jhon Duran
6'
-
Lucas Digne
38'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
53'
-
Moussa Diaby
70'