Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
1 - 3
Stal Mielec

Kramer (89')
Kapuadi (13'), Slisz (24'), Jedrzejczyk (58'), Kramer (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shkurin (38'), Wolkowicz (50'), Hinokio (82')
Wolkowicz (10'), Shkurin (90')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-2 Legia
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-1 Warta Poznan
Monday, October 23 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawStal Mielec
65.95% (0.125 0.13)19.19% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)14.86% (-0.074 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.91% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.4% (0.061 0.06)39.61% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.05% (0.064 0.06)61.95% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.8% (0.054000000000002 0.05)11.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.29% (0.11 0.11)35.71% (-0.105 -0.11)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.71% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)39.29% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)76% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 65.95%
    Stal Mielec 14.86%
    Draw 19.19%
Legia WarsawDrawStal Mielec
2-0 @ 10.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.7% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.19% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.21% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 65.95%
1-1 @ 9% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.19%
1-2 @ 4.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 14.86%

rhs 2.0


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