Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.