Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2023 6.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion MOSiR
  • Ilya Shkurin 21' goal
  • Maciej Domanski 45' goal
  • Ilya Shkurin 48' yellowcard
  • Kai Meriluoto 69' goal
  • Krystian Getinger 71' goal
  • yellowcard Michal Nalepa 17'
  • goal Juan Munoz 26'
  • redcard Michal Nalepa 28'
  • goal Mateusz Wdowiak 90'
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Wozniak 90'+3'

Stal Mielec vs Zaglebie Lubin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 1, 2023 7.30pm
Ruch Chorzow 1 - 1 Stal Mielec
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ilya Shkurin

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 3, 2023 2.00pm
Zaglebie Lubin 1 - 0 Szczecin
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Dawid Kurminowski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result

Stal Mielec 28.56% (+0.55)
Draw 26.35% (+0.49)
Zaglebie Lubin 45.08% (-1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.54% (-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.24% (-1.64)
Under 2.5 53.76% (+1.63)
Over 3.5 24.77% (-1.40)
Under 3.5 75.23% (+1.39)
Over 4.5 11.21% (-0.89)
Under 4.5 88.79% (+0.89)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5 66.28% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 33.71% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 29.63% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 70.37% (+0.48)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5 76.24% (-1.19)
Under 0.5 23.76% (+1.19)
Over 1.5 42.1% (-1.74)
Under 1.5 57.9% (+1.73)

Score analysis

Stal Mielec 28.56%
Draw 26.35%
Zaglebie Lubin 45.08%
Stal Mielec
1-0 @ 8.71% (+0.45)
2-1 @ 6.8% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.73% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.72% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 8.01% (+0.50)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.35%
Zaglebie Lubin
0-1 @ 11.51% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 8.27% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.24)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.16)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.15)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.08%