Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
4 - 2
Zaglebie Lubin

Shkurin (21'), Domanski (45'), Meriluoto (69'), Getinger (71')
Shkurin (48')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Munoz (26'), Wdowiak (90')
Nalepa (17'), Wozniak (90+3')
Nalepa (28')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 1-1 Stal Mielec
Friday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawZaglebie Lubin
28.56% (0.541 0.54)26.35% (0.486 0.49)45.08% (-1.032 -1.03)
Both teams to score 50.54% (-1.126 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-1.631 -1.63)53.76% (1.627 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.77% (-1.39 -1.39)75.23% (1.385 1.39)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (-0.444 -0.44)33.71% (0.438 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.484 -0.48)70.37% (0.47999999999999 0.48)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-1.185 -1.19)23.76% (1.181 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (-1.732 -1.73)57.9% (1.728 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 28.56%
    Zaglebie Lubin 45.08%
    Draw 26.35%
Stal MielecDrawZaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 8.71% (0.443 0.44)
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.73% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.56%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.498 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 11.51% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 8.27% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.08%

How you voted: Stal Mielec vs Zaglebie Lubin

Stal Mielec
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Zaglebie Lubin
20.0%
5