Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
1 - 1
Lech Poznan

Kurminowski (41')
Pienko (45+2'), Kludka (45+4'), Dabrowski (60'), Chodyna (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Blazic (76')
Milic (48'), Ishak (50'), Bednarek (54')
Murawski (50')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, July 29 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 Lech Poznan
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawLech Poznan
34.41% (-0.535 -0.53)28.1% (0.076000000000001 0.08)37.49% (0.459 0.46)
Both teams to score 47.41% (-0.279 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.31% (-0.321 -0.32)58.69% (0.322 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.77% (-0.25 -0.25)79.23% (0.252 0.25)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.514 -0.51)32.11% (0.515 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (-0.588 -0.59)68.59% (0.58999999999999 0.59)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.12100000000001 0.12)30.16% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.143 0.14)66.32% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 34.41%
    Lech Poznan 37.49%
    Draw 28.09%
Zaglebie LubinDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.41%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 11.61% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.49%

rhs 2.0


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