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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas

Kauno Zalgiris
1 - 2
Lech Poznan

Uzela (90+4')
Kloniunas (81'), Uzela (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marchwinski (14'), Ba Loua (90+1')
Marchwinski (4'), Pingot (83')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Kauno Zalgiris and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kauno Zalgiris

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Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris
Thursday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Lech Poznan

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, July 30 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Kauno Zalgiris had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Kauno Zalgiris win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Kauno ZalgirisDrawLech Poznan
24.94% (0.052 0.05)24.91% (0.023 0.02)50.15% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 52.06% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.62% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)50.38% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (-0.041 -0.04)72.32% (0.038999999999987 0.04)
Kauno Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.15% (0.018999999999991 0.02)34.85% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)71.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)20.1% (0.049000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)52.35% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kauno Zalgiris 24.94%
    Lech Poznan 50.14%
    Draw 24.9%
Kauno ZalgirisDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.89% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.37% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 24.94%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.02% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.14%

How you voted: Kauno Zalgiris vs Lech Poznan

Kauno Zalgiris
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Lech Poznan
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 7.30pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Lech Poznan
3-1
Kauno Zalgiris
Hotic (10'), Milic (41'), Murawski (45+2')
Fase (57')
Girdvainis (82'), Dolznikov (90+6')