Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Rakow
Rakow2 - 0Stal Mielec
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wlazlo (46'), Hinokio (55'), Ehmann (88')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Stal Mielec.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aris Limassol 0-1 Rakow
Tuesday, August 15 at 6pm in Champions League
Tuesday, August 15 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, August 12 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, August 12 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.
Result | ||
Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Stal Mielec |
66.59% ( -0.26) | 19.65% ( 0.15) | 13.75% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.84% ( -0.43) | 44.15% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.46% ( -0.43) | 66.53% ( 0.42) |
Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.65% ( -0.2) | 12.35% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.82% ( -0.42) | 38.18% ( 0.42) |
Stal Mielec Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% ( -0.11) | 43.7% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% ( -0.09) | 79.88% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Rakow Czestochowa 66.58%
Stal Mielec 13.75%
Draw 19.65%
Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Stal Mielec |
2-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 66.58% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.65% | 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 13.75% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-11 16:45:50
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Slask Wroclaw | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 57 |
2 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 56 |
3 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 52 |
4 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 52 |
5 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
6 | Legia WarsawLegia | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 50 |
7 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 49 |
8 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 32 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 42 |
9 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 42 |
10 | Stal Mielec | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
11 | Zaglebie Lubin | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 41 |
12 | Radomiak Radom | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
13 | Warta Poznan | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
14 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 32 | 7 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 36 |
15 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 32 |
17 | Ruch Chorzow | 31 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 26 |
18 | LKS Lodz | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 71 | -41 | 21 |
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