Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2023 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Ben Lederman 34' yellowcard
  • Giannis Papanikolaou 45'+2' goal
  • Fran Tudor 48' yellowcard
  • Lukasz Zwolinski 62' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Nowak 63' goal
  • yellowcard Piotr Wlazlo 46'
  • yellowcard Koki Hinokio 55'
  • yellowcard Marco Ehmann 88'

Rakow Czestochowa vs Stal Mielec - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 11, 2023 7.30pm
Piast Gliwice 2 - 1 Rakow
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Ante Crnac

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 12, 2023 2.00pm
Stal Mielec 3 - 1 Slask Wroclaw
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ilya Shkurin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.

Result

Rakow Czestochowa 66.59% (-0.27)
Draw 19.65% (+0.16)
Stal Mielec 13.75% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.35% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.84% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 44.15% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 33.46% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 66.53% (+0.43)
Over 4.5 17.13% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 82.87% (+0.32)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5 87.65% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 12.35% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 61.82% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 38.18% (+0.43)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5 56.3% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 43.7% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 20.12% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 79.88% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Rakow Czestochowa 66.58%
Draw 19.65%
Stal Mielec 13.75%
Rakow Czestochowa
2-0 @ 11.8% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 11.28% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.77% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.23% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 4.3% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.56% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 66.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.35% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.4% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.65%
Stal Mielec
0-1 @ 4.47% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 3.87% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.85% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 13.75%