Rakow
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Rakow

Rakow
2 - 0
Stal Mielec

Papanikolaou (45+2'), Nowak (63')
Lederman (34'), Tudor (48'), Zwolinski (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wlazlo (46'), Hinokio (55'), Ehmann (88')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, August 12 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawStal Mielec
66.59% (-0.261 -0.26)19.65% (0.152 0.15)13.75% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (-0.434 -0.43)44.15% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (-0.426 -0.43)66.53% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.202 -0.2)12.35% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82% (-0.424 -0.42)38.18% (0.422 0.42)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.3% (-0.112 -0.11)43.7% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.12% (-0.093 -0.09)79.88% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 66.58%
    Stal Mielec 13.75%
    Draw 19.65%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawStal Mielec
2-0 @ 11.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.56% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 66.58%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 13.75%

rhs 2.0


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