Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Rakow
Rakow2 - 1Aris Limassol
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Aris Limassol win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Aris Limassol |
| 59.06% | 22.23% | 18.7% |
| Both teams to score 51.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.7% | 46.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% | 68.58% |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% | 15.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.94% | 44.05% |
| Aris Limassol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.36% | 38.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.62% | 75.37% |
| Score Analysis |
Rakow Czestochowa 59.06%
Aris Limassol 18.7%
Draw 22.22%
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Aris Limassol |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% 2-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 6.2% 4-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.41% Total : 59.06% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.22% | 0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.7% |


