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Champions League

Qarabag
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 2, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Rakow

Qarabag
1 - 1
Rakow

Xhixha (60')
Medina (47'), Medvedev (89'), Jankovic (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tudor (51')
Carlos (56'), Kovacevic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Qarabag FK and Rakow Czestochowa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawRakow Czestochowa
43.32%25.85%30.83%
Both teams to score 53.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.3%50.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4%72.6%
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72%23.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79%57.21%
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52%30.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31%66.69%
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 43.32%
    Rakow Czestochowa 30.83%
    Draw 25.84%
Qarabag FKDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.32%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.43%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 30.83%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Rakow

Qarabag FK
58.8%
Draw
11.8%
Rakow Czestochowa
29.4%
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