Champions League
Jul 11, 2023 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Victoria Stadium
  • Kike Gomez 25' goal
  • goal Redon Xhixha 58'
  • goal Yassine Benzia 90'+4'

Lincoln Red Imps vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln Red Imps

All competitions

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Qarabag FK in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Qarabag FK.

Result

Lincoln Red Imps 34.93% (+12.06)
Draw 24.15% (+0.70)
Qarabag FK 40.92% (-12.76)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.6% (+6.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.13% (+4.33)
Under 2.5 41.87% (-4.33)
Over 3.5 35.73% (+4.22)
Under 3.5 64.27% (-4.22)
Over 4.5 18.81% (+3.09)
Under 4.5 81.19% (-3.09)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5 76.35% (+10.72)
Under 0.5 23.65% (-10.72)
Over 1.5 42.25% (+13.33)
Under 1.5 57.75% (-13.33)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 79.37% (-3.49)
Under 0.5 20.63% (+3.49)
Over 1.5 46.81% (-5.83)
Under 1.5 53.19% (+5.83)

Score analysis

Lincoln Red Imps 34.93%
Draw 24.14%
Qarabag FK 40.92%
Lincoln Red Imps
2-1 @ 8.01% (+2.08)
1-0 @ 7.04% (+0.75)
2-0 @ 5.07% (+1.72)
3-1 @ 3.85% (+1.74)
3-2 @ 3.04% (+1.18)
3-0 @ 2.44% (+1.25)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-54.92)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-48.61)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.32% (+1.10)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-1.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (+0.51)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.14%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 8.76% (-1.03)
0-1 @ 7.7% (-2.69)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-3.09)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-1.15)
2-3 @ 3.32% (+0.26)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-2.19)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.72)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-1.12)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 40.92%