Champions League
Jul 19, 2023 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
  • Abdellah Zoubir 7' goal
  • Bahlul Mustafazada 45'+1' goal
  • Redon Xhixha 49' goal
  • Marko Jankovic 62' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Sergeant 44'
  • yellowcard Kike Gomez 64'

Qarabag FK vs Lincoln Red Imps - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 11, 2023 4.30pm
Lincoln 1 - 2 Qarabag

Lincoln Red Imps

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jul 11, 2023 4.30pm
Lincoln 1 - 2 Qarabag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln Red Imps win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result

Qarabag FK 37.46% (+0.04)
Draw 23.91% (-0.01)
Lincoln Red Imps 38.62% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.81% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.57% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 40.43% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 37.19% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 62.81% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 19.93% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 80.07% (-0.02)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 78.33% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 21.67% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 45.19% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 54.8% (-0.04)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5 78.9% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.1% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.08% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 53.92% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 37.46%
Draw 23.91%
Lincoln Red Imps 38.62%
Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 8.32% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.99% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.35% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.47% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.91%
Lincoln Red Imps
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 38.62%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jul 11, 2023 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Victoria Stadium
  • Kike Gomez 25' goal
  • goal Redon Xhixha 58'
  • goal Yassine Benzia 90'+4'