Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.