Champions League
Jul 26, 2023 7.15pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Marcin Cebula 11' yellowcard
  • Elvin Cafarquliyev 55' goal
  • Fabian Piasecki 71' goal
  • Sonny Kittel 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Yassine Benzia 35'
  • goal Redon Xhixha 73'
  • goal Redon Xhixha 75'
  • yellowcard Redon Xhixha 78'
  • yellowcard Richard 90'+8'

Rakow Czestochowa vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result

Rakow Czestochowa 47.44% (+0.05)
Draw 24.96% (+0.03)
Qarabag FK 27.6% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.19% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.33% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 48.67% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 29.21% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 70.78% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 14.13% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 85.87% (+0.09)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5 79.44% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.55% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 46.92% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 53.07% (+0.06)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 68.21% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 31.78% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 31.78% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 68.21% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Rakow Czestochowa 47.43%
Draw 24.96%
Qarabag FK 27.6%
Rakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.33% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.37% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.18% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.31% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.96%
Qarabag FK
0-1 @ 7.49% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.6%