Rakow
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Rakow

Rakow
2 - 2
Warta Poznan

Zwolinski (50' pen.), Carlos (83')
Papanikolaou (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Luis (5'), Zurawski (57')
Szmyt (43')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Warta Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Rakow
Wednesday, August 2 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Warta Poznan 2-0 Gornik
Saturday, July 29 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 13.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.85%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawWarta Poznan
64.44% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02)22.37% (-0.278 -0.28)13.2% (0.302 0.3)
Both teams to score 40.02% (1.409 1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99% (1.495 1.5)56.01% (-1.49 -1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9% (1.202 1.2)77.1% (-1.197 -1.2)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (0.52900000000001 0.53)16.86% (-0.525 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.13% (0.927 0.93)46.87% (-0.923 -0.92)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.14% (1.4 1.4)51.86% (-1.394 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.08% (0.9 0.9)85.92% (-0.89400000000001 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 64.42%
    Warta Poznan 13.2%
    Draw 22.37%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawWarta Poznan
1-0 @ 15.56% (-0.63 -0.63)
2-0 @ 13.85% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.169 0.17)
3-0 @ 8.22% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.192 0.19)
4-0 @ 3.66% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.125 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.132 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 64.42%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.515 -0.51)
2-2 @ 2.99% (0.174 0.17)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.37%
0-1 @ 5.74% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-2 @ 3.36% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 13.2%