Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 5, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Lukasz Zwolinski 50' goal
  • Giannis Papanikolaou 63' yellowcard
  • Jean Carlos 83' goal
  • goal Miguel Luis 5'
  • yellowcard Kajetan Szmyt 43'
  • goal Maciej Zurawski 57'

Rakow Czestochowa vs Warta Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 22, 2023 4.30pm
Rakow 3 - 0 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Ante Crnac

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 29, 2023 2.00pm
Warta Poznan 2 - 0 Gornik
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kajetan Szmyt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 13.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.85%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Rakow Czestochowa 64.44% (-0.02)
Draw 22.37% (-0.28)
Warta Poznan 13.2% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.02% (+1.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.99% (+1.50)
Under 2.5 56.01% (-1.49)
Over 3.5 22.9% (+1.21)
Under 3.5 77.1% (-1.20)
Over 4.5 10.06% (+0.73)
Under 4.5 89.95% (-0.72)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5 83.14% (+0.53)
Under 0.5 16.86% (-0.53)
Over 1.5 53.13% (+0.93)
Under 1.5 46.87% (-0.93)

Warta Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 48.14% (+1.41)
Under 0.5 51.86% (-1.40)
Over 1.5 14.08% (+0.91)
Under 1.5 85.92% (-0.90)

Score analysis

Rakow Czestochowa 64.42%
Draw 22.37%
Warta Poznan 13.2%
Rakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 15.56% (-0.64)
2-0 @ 13.85% (-0.33)
2-1 @ 9.1% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 8.22% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.4% (+0.20)
4-0 @ 3.66% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.4% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.77% (+0.14)
5-0 @ 1.3% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 64.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.52)
2-2 @ 2.99% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.37%
Warta Poznan
0-1 @ 5.74% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 3.36% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 1.89% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 13.2%