Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 2
Jul 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej

Warta Poznan
2 - 0
Gornik

Szmyt (35' pen.), Kupczak (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Szczesniak (20'), Janicki (73')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Warta Poznan

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 0-2 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, July 23 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warta Poznan would win this match.

Result
Warta PoznanDrawGornik Zabrze
39.93% (0.89 0.89)26.21% (-0.237 -0.24)33.86% (-0.657 -0.66)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.63800000000001 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.869 0.87)51.36% (-0.871 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.753 0.75)73.18% (-0.755 -0.75)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (0.87899999999999 0.88)25.29% (-0.881 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (1.194 1.19)60.06% (-1.195 -1.2)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.013999999999996 0.01)28.81% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)64.66% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Warta Poznan 39.92%
    Gornik Zabrze 33.86%
    Draw 26.21%
Warta PoznanDrawGornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.159 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.087 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.92%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.86%