Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Aug 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
3 - 1
Slask Wroclaw

Hinokio (45', 53'), Trabka (55')
Ehmann (39'), Getinger (90'), Pajnowski (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Exposito (90+3' pen.)
Petkov (18')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Slask Wroclaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 Stal Mielec
Monday, August 7 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Slask Wroclaw

All competitions
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, July 29 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slask Wroclaw win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slask Wroclaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawSlask Wroclaw
33.97% (-0.148 -0.15)27.56% (-0.023 -0.02)38.47% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Both teams to score 48.96% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.27% (0.073 0.07)56.73% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.32% (0.058 0.06)77.68% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)31.41% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-0.07 -0.07)67.78% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Slask Wroclaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (0.13500000000001 0.14)28.62% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (0.17 0.17)64.42% (-0.17 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 33.96%
    Slask Wroclaw 38.47%
    Draw 27.56%
Stal MielecDrawSlask Wroclaw
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.96%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.04% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 38.47%