Champions League header

Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 6pm UK
Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro
Rakow

Aris Limassol
0 - 1
Rakow


Moucketou-Moussounda (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tudor (49')
Cebula (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Aris Limassol and Rakow Czestochowa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aris Limassol

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rakow 2-1 Aris Limassol
Tuesday, August 8 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-1 Rakow
Friday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.

Result
Aris LimassolDrawRakow Czestochowa
30.86% (0.975 0.98)27.99% (0.436 0.44)41.16% (-1.404 -1.4)
Both teams to score 46.9% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.07% (-1.237 -1.24)58.94% (1.242 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (-0.968 -0.97)79.42% (0.974 0.97)
Aris Limassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27% (0.073000000000008 0.07)34.73% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54% (0.076000000000001 0.08)71.46% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-1.343 -1.34)28.15% (1.35 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-1.738 -1.74)63.84% (1.744 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Aris Limassol 30.86%
    Rakow Czestochowa 41.16%
    Draw 27.98%
Aris LimassolDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.495 0.49)
2-1 @ 6.93% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.47% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 2.44% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.86%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 9.78% (0.451 0.45)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 12.39% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.31% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 41.16%

How you voted: Aris Limassol vs Rakow

Aris Limassol
44.4%
Draw
24.4%
Rakow Czestochowa
31.1%
45
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Rakow
2-1
Aris Limassol
Kochergin (7'), Piasecki (63' pen.)
Tudor (24'), Papanikolaou (39')
Mayambela (88')
Szoke (34')
> Preview