Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ruch Chorzow win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ruch Chorzow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.