Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
3 - 0
Ruch Chorzow

Gual (19'), Pekhart (43'), Pesqueira (68')
Celhaka (8'), Jedrzejczyk (45+1'), Pesqueira (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Michalski (27'), Szywacz (59'), Sadlok (90+2')
Kasolik (23')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Ruch Chorzow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 3-2 Ordabasy
Thursday, August 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Ruch Chorzow

All competitions
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 2-0 LKS Lodz
Friday, July 28 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawRuch Chorzow
62.17% (-0.965 -0.97)21.08% (0.445 0.45)16.74% (0.519 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.5% (-1.024 -1.02)44.5% (1.022 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.13% (-1 -1)66.87% (0.999 1)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25% (-0.61 -0.61)13.75% (0.609 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.97% (-1.226 -1.23)41.03% (1.224 1.22)
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14% (0.027000000000001 0.03)39.86% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47% (0.029 0.03)76.52% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 62.16%
    Ruch Chorzow 16.74%
    Draw 21.08%
Legia WarsawDrawRuch Chorzow
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.14% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-0 @ 3.54% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 62.16%
1-1 @ 10% (0.224 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.239 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 5.04% (0.223 0.22)
1-2 @ 4.6% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.32% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.74%

How you voted: Legia vs Ruch Chorzow

Legia Warsaw
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Ruch Chorzow
0.0%
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