Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Jurgen Celhaka 8' yellowcard
  • Marc Gual 19' goal
  • Tomas Pekhart 43' goal
  • Artur Jedrzejczyk 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Josue Pesqueira 68' goal
  • Josue Pesqueira 77' yellowcard
  • redcard Konrad Kasolik 23'
  • yellowcard Kacper Michalski 27'
  • yellowcard Remigiusz Szywacz 59'
  • yellowcard Maciej Sadlok 90'+2'

Legia Warsaw vs Ruch Chorzow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 21, 2023 7.30pm
Legia 3 - 0 LKS Lodz
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Josue Pesqueira

Ruch Chorzow

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jul 28, 2023 7.30pm
Ruch Chorzow 2 - 0 LKS Lodz
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Daniel Szczepan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result

Legia Warsaw 62.17% (-0.97)
Draw 21.08% (+0.45)
Ruch Chorzow 16.74% (+0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.87% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.5% (-1.03)
Under 2.5 44.5% (+1.03)
Over 3.5 33.13% (-1.00)
Under 3.5 66.87% (+1.00)
Over 4.5 16.89% (-0.74)
Under 4.5 83.11% (+0.73)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 86.25% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 13.75% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 58.97% (-1.23)
Under 1.5 41.03% (+1.23)

Ruch Chorzow Goals

Over 0.5 60.14% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 39.86% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 23.47% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 76.52% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Legia Warsaw 62.16%
Draw 21.08%
Ruch Chorzow 16.74%
Legia Warsaw
1-0 @ 10.87% (+0.24)
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.14% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.15)
4-0 @ 3.54% (-0.17)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 62.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 5.48% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 4.56% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.08%
Ruch Chorzow
0-1 @ 5.04% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 4.6% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.32% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.41% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.74%