Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 9, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Pepsi Arena, Warsaw

Legia
0 - 1
Spartak Moscow

Martins (24'), Pesqueira (26'), Slisz (44'), Kastrati (61'), Wieteska (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bakaev (17')
Promes (34'), Dzhikiya (61'), Melkadze (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Legia Warsaw and Spartak Moscow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.43%) and 1-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Legia Warsaw	Draw	Spartak Moscow
44.01%	21.65%	34.35%

Both teams to score 70.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.48%

29.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.39%

50.61%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.66%

14.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.8%

42.2%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.76%

18.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.72%

49.29%

Score Analysis

Legia Warsaw 44.01%

Spartak Moscow 34.35%

Draw 21.65%

Legia Warsaw	Draw	Spartak Moscow
2-1 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 5.43% 1-0 @ 5.08% 2-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-3 @ 1.27% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.62% Total : 44.01%	1-1 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 7.14% 3-3 @ 2.62% 0-0 @ 2.62% Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.65%	1-2 @ 7.36% 0-1 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 4.05% 0-2 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.72% 3-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.35%