Europa League
Dec 9, 2021 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andre Martins 24' yellowcard
  • Josue Pesqueira 26' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 44' yellowcard
  • Lirim Kastrati 61' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Wieteska 81' yellowcard
  • goal Zelimkhan Bakaev 17'
  • yellowcard Quincy Promes 34'
  • yellowcard Georgiy Dzhikiya 61'
  • yellowcard Georgi Melkadze 80'

Legia Warsaw vs Spartak Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 25, 2021 8.00pm
Leicester 3 - 1 Legia

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Nov 24, 2021 3.30pm
Spartak Moscow 2 - 1 Napoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.43%) and 1-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result

Legia Warsaw 44.01%
Draw 21.65%
Spartak Moscow 34.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

70.03%

Goals

Over 2.5 70.48%
Under 2.5 29.52%
Over 3.5 49.39%
Under 3.5 50.61%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 85.66%
Under 0.5 14.35%
Over 1.5 57.8%
Under 1.5 42.2%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 81.76%
Under 0.5 18.25%
Over 1.5 50.72%
Under 1.5 49.29%

Score analysis

Legia Warsaw 44.01%
Draw 21.65%
Spartak Moscow 34.35%
Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 8.39%
3-1 @ 5.43%
1-0 @ 5.08%
2-0 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.64%
4-2 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-3 @ 1.27%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 44.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 7.14%
3-3 @ 2.62%
0-0 @ 2.62%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.65%
Spartak Moscow
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-1 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 4.05%
0-2 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.72%
3-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 34.35%

Head to Head

Europa League
Sep 15, 2021 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Samuel Gigot 48' yellowcard
  • Nail Umyarov 53' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Lomovitski 90' yellowcard
  • Zelimkhan Bakaev 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateusz Wieteska 50'
  • yellowcard Mattias Johansson 55'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 70'
  • yellowcard Josue Pesqueira 90'
  • goal Lirim Kastrati 90'+1'