Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 4, 2021 at 2pm UK
Luzhniki Stadium

Spartak Moscow
2 - 1
Akhmat Grozny

Moses (13'), Promes (87')
Esteves (38'), Promes (65'), Gigot (72'), Lucas (89'), Selikhov (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Utkin (45+3')
Konovalov (5'), Semenov (38'), Arkhipov (49')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Akhmat Grozny.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawAkhmat Grozny
50.78%23.98%25.24%
Both teams to score 55.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77%46.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47%68.53%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76%18.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.73%49.28%
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65%32.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13%68.87%
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 50.78%
    Akhmat Grozny 25.24%
    Draw 23.98%
Spartak MoscowDrawAkhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.54%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-0 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 50.78%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.66%
1-2 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 25.24%

rhs 2.0


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