Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Ruch Chorzow win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.